The American Crackup
Will the United States hold together as a nation-state?
It’s easy to dismiss the question as mere barstool musing. (But then this is a Whiskey bar.)
Right now, though, it’s worth pondering the fate of the U.S., despite the risk of people waving off the idea of a national-level crackup as crazy talk.
After all, goes conventional thinking, the U.S. is big and powerful. It covers half a continent, with a population over 330 million, and a gigantic economy anchored in the dollar, which is the world’s reserve currency.
And the U.S. has military and geographic interests around the world, from pole to pole, Antarctica to the Arctic.
American national interests span entire oceans, from islands in the far Pacific to military base agreements on five other continents.
Heck, the U.S. flag even flies (so to speak) on the moon.
What could go wrong?
Break up the country? C’mon, man… No way!
Then again, as I’ll expand below, those are much the same arguments that the CIA made about the Soviet Union for many decades, up through the 1980s and into the early 1990s… Almost right up until that nation-state dissolved and broke apart.
For now, let’s open the door just a crack… and ponder questions that are not supposed to be asked in polite company.
The answer might be that everything is fine, and the U.S. will hold together as a nation.
Or put another way, and considering what’s happening right before our eyes… The U.S. will hold together right up until the day it falls apart.
Let’s dig into this…
First things first… This is all prompted by current events. So let’s look at what’s happening.
Clearly, we do not live in a country that is fundamentally, politically healthy.
On Election Day I wrote, “The polls are open… And we wait.” Well, it’s been two weeks and we’re still waiting.
That is, a nuclear-armed superpower held an election and two weeks later the outcome remains dodgy.
In many jurisdictions, election workers are still counting votes, if not recounting or auditing.
Heck, it was not until nearly a week after so-called Election Day – on Nov. 9! – that New York began opening and counting 1.5 million absentee ballots.1
In other words, the election is far from over, just at the level of counting little marks on sheets of paper.
It makes you wonder…
For example, when you buy gas with a credit card, the charge posts to your account within seconds. Or you can drive on a toll road with an E-ZPass and the system registers your use even when you blow past the tracking tower at 70 miles per hour.
So why is this “voting thing” so hard?
Hint, because somebody, somewhere wants it to be this way.
All this while, obviously, the politics of the post-election landscape are noisy and bitter.
Mainstream media push the story line that “Biden won, it’s over.” This, with the additional angle that anyone who doubts it is a Looney-Tunes, tin foil-hat kook.
The conventional theme is that everyone who doubts the idea of “President-elect” Biden should just shut the hell up. That, and quit bellyaching, get in line and support this 77-year-old “man from Scranton” who once lived in a mansion on the DuPont estate in Delaware.2
Meanwhile, according to Politico, 70% of Republicans “don’t believe the election was free and fair.” Indeed, 78% believe that mail-in ballots led to widespread fraud.3
Apparently, more than a few people have read or watched stories that are not censored by Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, etc.
They’ve seen tales of vote fraud and ballot harvesting. They’ve read articles about how vote-counting software somehow switched millions of Trump votes into Biden votes.4
Or as one investigator characterized things, vote fraud has met its match in “data pattern science.” According to this analysis, the recent election was tainted by vote alteration at the fundamental level of the tabulation software:
In precinct after precinct, there is an unmistakable pattern that the more people vote for Trump over Biden the greater the number of Trump votes the counting machines scoop from Trump to Biden.5
To say the least, when it comes to the recent, still-undecided election, we are not looking at a recipe for social harmony.
We have widely varying perceptions of how the election turned out, with counting still in progress. It’s all still up in the air, with lawsuits in a number of states.
We’ll see where it all goes… Supreme Court, anyone?
While the election drama unfolds, Biden is preparing for a “shock and awe” level of governance.
Biden and his people will carpet bomb the policies of the Trump administration. Because when it comes to opposing all things Trump, it gets visceral with actual “blacklists.”6
Biden’s administration will take to Trump policies much like how Rome exterminated the last traces of Carthage.
Closer in time and space than Carthage, consider what might happen if/when the humanities and social science faculties of Harvard or Berkeley take over the country and begin running the place.
And it’s not just that if you supported President Trump, you won’t like Biden, his appointees or their collective policies.
Even if you supported Biden in the election, you too may be surprised at who he appoints and what policies come out of his governance.
Considering what we’ve seen of left-wing “cancel culture,” it’s not out of line to expect that most of the Bill of Rights is up for grabs.
Freedom of speech and religion? Second Amendment? Search and seizure? Due process? Jury trial?
We’ve already seen what happens to fundamental rights during the COVID lockdowns via state governors who apparently love to channel their inner-Mussolini.
Welcome to the modern, comprehensive administrative state, where there are over 6,000 statutory federal crimes, with tens of thousands of potential “criminal” violations defined in administrative law.7
The crackdowns are coming…
And it’s much more than simply the return of “Democrats” to power.
Because in all seriousness, the country can survive Democrats.
But right now we’re staring down the barrel of a hostile takeover of America by Big Tech oligarchs, allied with big-money corporatism, working with Progressive Hard-Leftism, hand in hand with forces of globalism.
Just look at where large amounts of Biden’s fundraising originated. The big bucks came from Wall Street.8 And Big Tech oligarchs.9
Now look back at the past 30 years, since the end of the Cold War.
Aside from 3.9 years of Trump (and even with Trump, arguably), it’s been a time of advancing globalization, financialization, deindustrialization and the diminishment of the importance of national borders, whether they’re U.S.-Mexico or Europe-Middle East/Africa.
How has it worked out?
I discussed this about a month ago, in terms of what Tucker Carlson told the New Orleans Investment Conference.
The U.S. has reached a point where “class barriers are more rigid than race barriers,” Carlson said. “How many people who live in fancy suburbs know anybody who’s an air conditioner repairman?” he asked rhetorically.
Mirroring points that you’ve seen here at the Whiskey bar, Carlson discussed how the root of America’s current discord is a hollowed-out economy. The country has lost millions of jobs in manufacturing. Entire regions have been devastated by the loss of the historical industrial base.
Americans look around and see how manufacturing jobs have moved to Mexico, if not China. There go an entire economy’s worth of good wages and benefits.
Meanwhile, many jobs in information technology routinely go to foreigners who show up in the U.S., courtesy of H-1B visas granted to giant tech conglomerates.
So much for the rewards to American students of pursuing a technical degree.
And much basic, manual labor — from farms to meat-packing to construction — has been displaced by an entire population of mostly illegal immigrants.
What’s an American working man or woman to do?
Here’s the bottom line…
The American day-labor class has been undermined and cut out by open borders and immigration. Factory workers have been shut out by exporting jobs. The technical class has been undermined by widespread use of H-1Bs.
What’s next? Well…
Next, they’re coming for the “professional” class. They’re coming for the jobs and incomes of people in leafy suburbs, who think that all the talk about America and borders and Americanism is just ugly nationalism.
This is one more milestone on the pathway to America’s new feudalism.
So back to the opening discussion… What does it look like when a vast nation breaks up?
I’ve mentioned that back in the late 1980s, I served on the staff of the Chief of Naval Operations.
From those offices, I had a ringside seat to how the upper echelons of U.S. governance viewed the world. I saw message traffic from the Defense Department, State, Treasury, foreign embassies, even the White House.
And I can absolutely say that from the perspective of those times, the former Soviet Union was not going anywhere.
In the 1980s the Soviets were our rock-solid adversary, and that was that.
We were firmly locked into the Cold War. The entire “strategic” approach to U.S. governance and national defense was grounded in having the USSR on the other side, as an armed, ideological opponent.
For example, U.S. nuclear weapons were all about “deterring” the Soviets. U.S. stealth aircraft technology was all about evading Soviet air defenses. U.S. submarines – the Seawolf-class (SSN-21) come to mind – were all about keeping a decisive edge over the Soviets at sea.
But in 1988–89, things happened that foreshadowed the future.
In particular, the Soviets staged a final withdrawal from Afghanistan beginning in mid-1988 and ending in February 1989. Despite the flags and flowers for the returning soldiers, it was clear that Afghanistan was an expensive Soviet military debacle.
And then in November 1989, after a summer of unrest in former East Germany, the Berlin Wall began to come down. By 1990, East and West Germany reunified, and not as a “successor state.” Indeed, the reunification was a political enlargement of “West” Germany.
The Warsaw Pact soon broke up and European nations called on the Soviets to get their military forces out, back to Russia.
By 1991 the USSR was on its last legs, politically. For over two years, various “Soviet” regions had been drifting away from the Russian core: the Baltics, Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia, the ‘Stans…
On Dec. 25, 1991, Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev resigned and declared his office “extinct.” He handed over the political power of Russia – including control over nuclear weapons – to Boris Yeltsin.
That night, the Soviet flag was lowered from the Kremlin and replaced with the Russian national flag.
And it was over.
Only in hindsight did many U.S. defense and policy “experts” begin to absorb what had happened. And that, in many instances, was only because Russians came over and explained it.
In essence, the structure and daily political conduct of the Soviet Union – its entire raison d’être as a nation – had outlived itself.
The point is, a country like the Soviet Union back then, and the U.S. right now, can have deep-seated, seismic-level problems… economic, military, social, cultural.
The wheels can be coming off at every corner. Yet the collapse is not necessarily apparent to most observers.
Not until it occurs.
We’ll just have to wait and see, right?
On that note, I rest my case.
That’s all for now… Thank you for subscribing and reading.
Managing Editor, Whiskey & Gunpowder
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